Showing posts with label arizona. Show all posts
Showing posts with label arizona. Show all posts

Monday, March 30, 2015

Ranking the top 25 NCAA men's basketball teams of all time

(updated through the end of calendar year 2016)

Let's look at some categories, and then add the rankings together.

Championships (weighted 2x)


1) UCLA (11) - 50 points
2) Kentucky (8) - 48 points
3) North Carolina (5) - 46 points
3) Indiana (5) - 46 points
3) Duke (5) - 46 points
6) UConn (4) - 40 points
7) Louisville (3) - 38 points
7) Kansas (3) - 38 points 
9) Florida (2) - 34 points
9) Michigan State (2) - 34 points
9) NC State (2) - 34 points
9) Cincinnati (2) - 34 points
9) Oklahoma State (2) - 34 points
9) San Francisco (2) - 34 points

9) Villanova (2) - 34 points
16) Syracuse (1) - 20 points
16) Utah (1) - 20 points
16) Arizona (1) - 20 points
16) Georgetown (1) - 20 points
16) Ohio State (1) - 20 points
16) Marquette (1) - 20 points
16) Oregon (1) - 20 points
16) Wisconsin (1) - 20 points
16) Stanford (1) - 20 points
16) Wyoming (1) - 20 points
16) Holy Cross (1) - 20 points
16) CCNY (1) - 20 points
16) La Salle (1)  - 20 points
16) California (1) - 20 points
16) Loyola Ill. (1) - 20 points
16) UTEP (1) - 20 points
16) Maryland (1) - 20 points
16) Michigan (1)  - 20 points
16) Arkansas (1) - 20 points
16) UNLV (1) - 20 points

Total Wins


1) Kentucky - 25 points
2) Kansas - 24 points
3) North Carolina - 23 points
4) Duke - 22 points

5) Temple - 21 points
6) Syracuse - 20 points
7) Notre Dame - 19 points
8) UCLA - 18 points
9) St. John's - 17 points
10) Indiana - 16 points
11) Louisville - 15 points

12) BYU - 14 points
13) Utah - 13 points
14) Illinois - 12 points
15) Texas - 11 points
16) Arizona - 10 points
17) Washington - 9 points
18) Pennsylvania - 8 points
19) Western Kentucky - 7 points
20) Cincinnati - 6 points
21) Purdue - 5 points 
22) Oregon State - 4 points
23) West Virginia - 3 points
24) Princeton - 2 points 
25) Villanova - 1 point

Winning percentage


1) Kentucky - 25 points
2) UNC - 24 points
3) Kansas - 23 points
4) Duke - 22 points
5) UCLA - 21 points
6) Syracuse - 20 points
7) Louisville - 19 points

8) Western Kentucky - 18 points
9) Arizona - 17 points
10) Notre Dame - 16 points
11) St. John's  - 15 points
12) Illinois - 14 points
13) Villanova - 13 points
14) Utah - 12 points
15) UConn - 11 points
16) Murray State - 10 points
17) Temple - 9 points
18) Indiana - 8 points
19) Arkansas - 7 points
20) Cincinnati - 6 points
21) Missouri State - 5 points
22) Purdue - 4 points
23) Texas - 3 points
24) BYU - 2 points
25) NC State - 1 point

Tournament Appearances


1) Kentucky - 25 points
2) UNC - 24 points

3) Kansas - 23 points
3) UCLA - 23 points
5) Louisville - 21 points
6) Duke - 20 points
7) Indiana - 19 points
8) Villanova - 18 points
8) Notre Dame - 18 points

10) Syracuse - 16 points
11) Texas - 15 points
12) UConn - 14 points
12) Temple - 14 points
14) Arizona - 12 points
14) Marquette - 12 points
16) Michigan State - 10 points
16) Arkansas - 10 points
16) Georgetown - 10 points
16) Cincinnati - 10 points
16) Illinois - 10 points
16) Oklahoma - 10 points
22) Utah - 4 points
22) BYU - 4 points
24) St. John's - 2 points
24) Kansas State - 2 points

Final Fours


1) UNC - 25 points
2) Kentucky - 24 points
2) UCLA - 24 points
4) Duke - 22 points
5) Kansas - 21 points
6) Louisville - 20 points
6) Ohio State - 20 points
8) Michigan State - 18 points
9) Indiana - 17 points
10) Cincinnati - 16 points
10) Oklahoma State - 16 points
10) Arkansas - 16 points

10) Syracuse - 16 points
14) Connecticut - 12 points
14) Georgetown - 12 points

14) Florida - 12 points
14) Houston - 12 points
14) Illinois - 12 points
14) Michigan - 12 points
14) Oklahoma - 12 points
21) Arizona - 5 points
21) Kansas State - 5 points

21) LSU - 5 points
21) UNLV - 5 points
21) Utah - 5 points
21) Villanova - 5 points

21) Wisconsin - 5 points

Tournament Wins


1) Kentucky - 25 points
2) UNC - 24 points
3) Duke - 23 points
4) UCLA - 22 points
5) Kansas - 21 points
6) Louisville - 20 points
7) Indiana - 19 points
8) Syracuse - 18 points
9) Michigan State - 17 points
10) Connecticut - 16 points

11) Villanova - 15 points
12) Ohio State - 14 points
13) Arizona - 13 points
14) Michigan - 12 points
15) Georgetown - 11 points
16) Cincinnati - 10 points
17) Florida - 9 points
18) Arkansas - 8 points
18) Marquette - 8 points
18) Maryland - 8 points
18) Oklahoma - 8 points
22) Illinois - 4 points
23) Oklahoma State - 3 points
24) Utah - 3 points
25) NC State - 2 points
25) Notre Dame - 2 points

Tournament Win Percentage (min. 25 games)


1) Duke - 25 points
2) North Carolina - 24 points

3) UCLA - 23 points
4) Michigan - 22 points
5) Florida - 21 points

6) Kentucky - 20 points
7) Kansas - 19 points
8) Michigan State - 18 points
9) UConn - 17 points
10) Indiana - 16 points
11) Ohio State - 15 points
12) Louisville - 14 points
13) UNLV - 13 points
14) Wisconsin - 12 points

15) Syracuse - 11 points
16) Arizona - 10 points
17) Maryland - 9 points
18) Georgetown - 8 points
19) Villanova - 7 points
20) Memphis - 6 points
21) Cincinnati - 5 points
22) Butler - 4 points
23) San Francisco - 3 points
24) Seton Hall - 2 points
25) Oklahoma State - 1 point
25) Oregon - 1 point

Composite rankings (adding points for all lists)


1) Kentucky - 192
2) UNC - 190

3) UCLA - 181
4) Duke - 180
5) Kansas - 169
6) Louisville - 147
7) Indiana - 141
8) Syracuse - 121
9) UConn - 110

10) Michigan State - 97
11) Villanova - 93
12) Arizona - 87
12) Cincinnati - 87

14) Florida - 76
15) Ohio State - 69
16) Michigan - 66
17) Georgetown - 61
17) Arkansas - 61
19) Utah - 57
20) Notre Dame - 55
21) Oklahoma State - 54
22) Illinois - 52
23) Temple - 44
24) Marquette - 40
25) UNLV - 38

The top teams of the six-round NCAA tournament era (and before)

Since 1985
1) Duke (4 titles, 12 FFs, 30 appearances)
2) UConn (4 titles, 5 FFs, 18 appearances)
3) North Carolina (3 titles, 9 FFs, 28 appearances)
4) Kentucky (3 titles, 8 FFs, 25 appearances)
5) Kansas (2 titles, 8 FFs, 30 appearances)
6) Florida (2 titles, 5 FFs, 17 appearances)
7) Louisville (2 titles, 4 FFs, 24 appearances)
8) Michigan State (1 title, 7 FFs, 25 appearances)
9) Arizona (1 title, 4 FFs, 27 appearances)
10) Syracuse (1 title, 4 FFs, 25 appearances)
11) UCLA (1 title, 4 FFs, 24 appearances)
12) Indiana (1 title, 3 FFs, 24 appearances)
13) Arkansas (1 title, 3 FFs, 18 appearances)
14) UNLV (1 title, 3 FFs, 15 appearances)

Missed the cutoff (fewer than 3 Final Fours):
Villanova, Michigan

Before 1985
1) UCLA (10 titles, 13 FFs, 22 appearances)
2) Kentucky (5 titles, 9 FFs, 29 appearances)
3) Indiana (4 titles, 5 FFs, 14 appearances)
4) North Carolina (2 titles, 9 FFs, 18 appearances)
5) Cincinnati (2 titles, 5 FFs, 10 appearances)
6) Oklahoma State (2 titles, 4 FFs, 9 appearances)
7) San Francisco (2 titles, 3 FFs, 14 appearances)
8) North Carolina State (2 titles, 3 FFs, 11 appearances)
9) Ohio State (1 title, 8 FFs, 13 appearances)
10) Louisville (1 title, 6 FFs, 17 appearances)
11) Kansas (1 title, 6 FFs, 14 appearances)
12) Utah (1 title, 3 FFs, 13 appearances)
13) Georgetown (1 title, 3 FFs, 9 appearances)
14) California (1 title, 3 FFs, 5 appearances)

Missed the cutoff (fewer than 3 Final Fours):
Marquette, Michigan State, UTEP, Loyola (Chicago), LaSalle, CCNY, Holy Cross, Wyoming, Stanford, Wisconsin, Oregon

Here are some detailed profiles of the top schools in the six-round era:

Duke
Current streak: made 20 in a row
Appearances: 30 (missed 1995)
Sweet 16s: 22
Elite 8s: 14
Final 4s: 12
Titles: 4

Appearances before 1985: 9
Sweet 16s before 1985: 6
Elite 8s before 1985: 6
Final 4s before 1985: 4
Titles before 1985: 0

Connecticut
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 18
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 10
Final 4s: 5
Titles: 4

Appearances before 1985: 13
Sweet 16s before 1985: 3
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

North Carolina
Current streak: made 5 in a row
Appearances: 28 (missed 2002, 2003, 2010)
Sweet 16s: 20
Elite 8s: 15
Final 4s: 9
Titles: 3

Appearances before 1985: 18
Sweet 16s before 1985: 11
Elite 8s before 1985: 11 (2 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 9
Titles before 1985: 2

Kentucky
Current streak: made 2 in a row
Appearances: 25 (vacated 1988, missed 1989, 1990, 1991, 2009, 2013)
Sweet 16s: 18
Elite 8s: 15
Final 4s: 8
Titles: 3

Appearances before 1985: 29
Sweet 16s before 1985: 23
Elite 8s before 1985: 21 (4 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 9
Titles before 1985: 5

Kansas
Current streak: made 26 in a row
Appearances: 30 (missed in 1989)
Sweet 16s: 19
Elite 8s: 12
Final 4s: 8
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 14
Sweet 16s before 1985: 9
Elite 8s before 1985: 9 (2 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 6
Titles before 1985: 1

Florida
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 17
Sweet 16s: 9
Elite 8s: 8
Final 4s: 5
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 0
Sweet 16s before 1985: 0
Elite 8s before 1985: 0
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

Louisville
Current streak: made 9 in a row
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 14
Elite 8s: 8
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 17
Sweet 16s before 1985: 14
Elite 8s before 1985: 6
Final 4s before 1985: 6
Titles before 1985: 1

Michigan State
Current streak: made 18 in a row
Appearances: 25 (missed 1987, 1988, 1989, 1993, 1996, 1997)
Sweet 16s: 15
Elite 8s: 9
Final 4s: 7
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 4
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 4
Final 4s before 1985: 2
Titles before 1985: 1

Arizona
Current streak: made 3 in a row
Appearances: 27 (vacated 1999 and 2008, missed 2010 and 2012)
Sweet 16s: 16
Elite 8s: 10
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 3
Sweet 16s before 1985: 2
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

Syracuse
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 25 (missed 1993, 1997, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2015)
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 6
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 12
Sweet 16s before 1985: 8
Elite 8s before 1985: 3
Final 4s before 1985: 1
Titles before 1985: 0

UCLA
Current streak: made 3 in a row
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 6
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 22
Sweet 16s before 1985: 19
Elite 8s before 1985: 15
Final 4s before 1985: 13
Titles before 1985: 10

Indiana
Current streak: 1
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 9
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 14
Sweet 16s before 1985: 12
Elite 8s before 1985: 7 (1 during 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 5
Titles before 1985: 4

Arkansas
Current streak: 1
Appearances: 18
Sweet 16s: 6
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 12
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 6 (3 during 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 3
Titles before 1985: 0

UNLV
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 15
Sweet 16s: 6
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 5
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 1
Titles before 1985: 0


Sunday, March 15, 2015

What schools have received the most number 1 seeds? How have they fared as 1 seeds?

The men's NCAA basketball tournament has only been seeded since 1979.  In the 39 tournaments (including 2017) since then, here are the schools with the highest number of 1 seeds - plus, their results when they have received those 1 seeds.

1) NORTH CAROLINA - 16 top seeds (79, 82, 84, 87, 91, 93, 94, 97, 98, 05, 07, 08, 09, 12, 16, 17)

Titles as 1 seed: 4 of 15 (27%) - 1982, 1993, 2005, 2009.

Final Fours as 1 seed: 8 of 15 (53%) - 1982, 1991, 1993, 1997, 1998, 2005, 2009, 2016

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 12 of 15 (80%) - 1982, 1987, 1991, 1993, 1997, 1998, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2012, 2016

Upset before Sweet 16: 2 of 15 (13%) - 1979 (lost to 9th seed Penn), 1994 (lost to 9th seed Boston College).

2) DUKE - 13 top seeds (86, 92, 98, 99, 00, 01, 02, 04, 05, 06, 10, 11, 15)

Titles as 1 seed: 4 of 13 (31%) - 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015

Final Fours as 1 seed: 6 of 13 (46%) - 1986, 1992, 1999, 2001, 2004, 2010, 2015

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 8 of 13 (62%) - 1986, 1992, 1998, 1999, 2001, 2004, 2010, 2015

Upset before Sweet 16: never

2) KANSAS - 13 top seeds (86, 92, 95, 97, 98, 02, 07, 08, 10, 11, 13, 16, 17)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 12 (8%) - 2008.

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 12 (25%) - 1986, 2002, 2008.

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 6 of 12 (50%) - 1986, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2011, 2016

Upset before Sweet 16: 3 of 12 (25%) - 1992 (lost to 9th seed UTEP), 1998 (lost to 8th seed Rhode Island), 2010 (lost to 9th seed Northern Iowa).

4) KENTUCKY - 12 top seeds (80, 84, 86, 93, 95, 96, 97, 03, 04, 10, 12, 15)

Titles as 1 seed: 2 of 12 (17%) - 1996, 2012

Final Fours as 1 seed: 6 of 12 (50%) - 1984, 1993, 1996, 1997, 2012, 2015

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 10 of 12 (83%) - 1984, 1986, 1993, 1995, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2015

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 12 (8%) - 2004 (lost to 9th seed UAB).


5) ARIZONA - 6 top seeds (88, 89, 98, 00, 03, 14)

Titles as 1 seed: none

Final Fours as 1 seed: 1 of 6 (17%).  1988

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 4 of 6 (67%). 1988, 1998, 2003, 2014.

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 6 (17%).  2000 (lost to 8th seed Wisconsin).

6) MICHIGAN STATE - 5 top seeds (90, 99, 00, 01, 12)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  2000

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1999, 2000, 2001

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1999, 2000, 2001

Upset before Sweet 16: never

6) GEORGETOWN - 5 top seeds (82, 84, 85, 87, 89)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1984

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1982, 1984, 1985

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 5 of 5 (100%).  1982, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1989

Upset before Sweet 16: never

6) OKLAHOMA - 5 top seeds (85, 88, 89, 90, 03)

Titles as 1 seed: none

Final Fours as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1988

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1985, 1988, 2003

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 5 (20%).  1990 (lost to 8th seed North Carolina)

6) UCONN - 5 top seeds (90, 96, 99, 06, 09)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1999

Final Fours as 1 seed: 2 of 5 (40%).  1999, 2009

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 4 of 5 (80%).  1990, 1999, 2006, 2009

Upset before Sweet 16: never 

NOTE: 1996 tournament (during which they made the Sweet 16) was later vacated, however.

TOP PERFORMING SCHOOLS...

% winning titles: DUKE (31%)

% reaching Final Four: Georgetown, MSU (60%)

% reaching Elite Eight: Georgetown (100%)

Saturday, January 26, 2013

History of #1 Seeds and #1 Teams in the NCAA Tournament

(updated through the 2016 tournament)

Since the NCAA tournament began seeding in the modern format (four regions, each seeded first to last) in 1979, #1 seeds have fared very well, and high seeds in general (#1-3) have done EXTREMELY well.  But there have been a few exceptions.


Out of 38 tournaments in this era:

- 23 have been won by #1 seeds (60.5%)

- 33 have been won by a team seeded 1, 2 or 3 (86.8%)

- The only sub-3 seed winners: 
4 seed Arizona (1997) 
6 seed NC State (1983)
6 seed KU (1988)
7 seed UConn (2014) 
8 seed Villanova (1985)


If you confine it to 1990 through 2016 (27 tournaments), it gets even chalkier:

- 18 have been won by #1 seeds (67%)
- 25 have been won by a team seeded 1, 2 or 3 (93%)
- The only exceptions: 4 seed Arizona (1997), 7 seed UConn (2014)


However, in spite of all this chalky success, the overall #1 team has not performed up to expectations.  The concept of an "overall #1 seed" hasn't existed long, so I substituted the #1 team from the final AP poll in each season in looking at this.


In the 38 tournaments with modern seeding:

Only 7 champions were the overall #1 seed (or ranked #1 in the era before the existence of such a measure):

1982 UNC
1992 Duke
1995 UCLA
2001 Duke
2007 Florida (note - they were #3 in final AP poll)
2012 Kentucky
2013 Louisville (note - they were #2 in final AP poll)

8 champions were ranked #2 (and had a #1 seed):

1980 Louisville
1984 Georgetown
1990 UNLV
1994 Arkansas
1996 Kentucky
2000 Michigan State
2005 UNC
2009 UNC

5 champions were ranked #3 (and had a #1 seed):

1979 Michigan State
1987 Indiana
1999 UConn
2010 Duke
2015 Duke (note - they were #4 in final AP poll)

3 champions were ranked #4 (and had a #1 seed):

1993 North Carolina
2002 Maryland
2008 Kansas

The rest of the champs:

1981 Indiana - ranked 9th, seeded #3

1983 NC State - ranked 16th, seeded #6

1985 Villanova - unranked, seeded #8

1986 Louisville - ranked 7th, seeded #2

1988 Kansas - unranked, seeded #6

1989 Michigan - ranked 10th, seeded #3

1991 Duke - ranked 6th, seeded #2

1997 Arizona - ranked 15th, seeded #4

1998 Kentucky - ranked 5th, seeded #2

2003 Syracuse - ranked 13th, seeded #3

2004 UConn - ranked 7th, seeded #2

2006 Florida - ranked 11th, seeded #3

2011 UConn - ranked 9th, seeded #3

2014 UConn - ranked 18th, overall seed 26th, seeded #7

2016 Villanova - ranked 6th, overall seeded 7th, seeded #2

What about the #1 teams (and overall #1 seeds) who have failed to get the job done?

1979 Indiana State - Runner-up

1980 DePaul - Round of 32 loss

1981 DePaul - Round of 32 loss

1983 Houston - Runner-up

1984 North Carolina - Sweet 16 loss

1985 Georgetown - Runner-up

1986 Duke - Runner-up

1987 UNLV - Final 4 loss

1988 Temple - Elite 8 loss

1989 Arizona - Sweet 16 loss

1990 Oklahoma - Round of 32 loss

1993 Indiana - Elite 8 loss

1994 North Carolina - Round of 32 loss

1996 UMass - Final 4 loss

1997 Kansas - Sweet 16 loss

1998 North Carolina - Final 4 loss

1999 Duke - Runner-up

2000 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2002 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2003 Kentucky - Elite 8 loss

2004 Stanford - Round of 32 loss

2005 Illinois - Runner-up

2006 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2008 Memphis - Runner-up (vacated)

2009 Louisville - Elite 8 loss

2010 Kansas - Round of 32 loss

2011 Ohio State - Sweet 16 loss

2014 Florida - Final 4 loss

2015 Kentucky - Final 4 loss

2016 Kansas - Elite 8 loss