Showing posts with label college basketball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label college basketball. Show all posts

Monday, March 30, 2015

The top teams of the six-round NCAA tournament era (and before)

Since 1985
1) Duke (4 titles, 12 FFs, 30 appearances)
2) UConn (4 titles, 5 FFs, 18 appearances)
3) North Carolina (3 titles, 9 FFs, 28 appearances)
4) Kentucky (3 titles, 8 FFs, 25 appearances)
5) Kansas (2 titles, 8 FFs, 30 appearances)
6) Florida (2 titles, 5 FFs, 17 appearances)
7) Louisville (2 titles, 4 FFs, 24 appearances)
8) Michigan State (1 title, 7 FFs, 25 appearances)
9) Arizona (1 title, 4 FFs, 27 appearances)
10) Syracuse (1 title, 4 FFs, 25 appearances)
11) UCLA (1 title, 4 FFs, 24 appearances)
12) Indiana (1 title, 3 FFs, 24 appearances)
13) Arkansas (1 title, 3 FFs, 18 appearances)
14) UNLV (1 title, 3 FFs, 15 appearances)

Missed the cutoff (fewer than 3 Final Fours):
Villanova, Michigan

Before 1985
1) UCLA (10 titles, 13 FFs, 22 appearances)
2) Kentucky (5 titles, 9 FFs, 29 appearances)
3) Indiana (4 titles, 5 FFs, 14 appearances)
4) North Carolina (2 titles, 9 FFs, 18 appearances)
5) Cincinnati (2 titles, 5 FFs, 10 appearances)
6) Oklahoma State (2 titles, 4 FFs, 9 appearances)
7) San Francisco (2 titles, 3 FFs, 14 appearances)
8) North Carolina State (2 titles, 3 FFs, 11 appearances)
9) Ohio State (1 title, 8 FFs, 13 appearances)
10) Louisville (1 title, 6 FFs, 17 appearances)
11) Kansas (1 title, 6 FFs, 14 appearances)
12) Utah (1 title, 3 FFs, 13 appearances)
13) Georgetown (1 title, 3 FFs, 9 appearances)
14) California (1 title, 3 FFs, 5 appearances)

Missed the cutoff (fewer than 3 Final Fours):
Marquette, Michigan State, UTEP, Loyola (Chicago), LaSalle, CCNY, Holy Cross, Wyoming, Stanford, Wisconsin, Oregon

Here are some detailed profiles of the top schools in the six-round era:

Duke
Current streak: made 20 in a row
Appearances: 30 (missed 1995)
Sweet 16s: 22
Elite 8s: 14
Final 4s: 12
Titles: 4

Appearances before 1985: 9
Sweet 16s before 1985: 6
Elite 8s before 1985: 6
Final 4s before 1985: 4
Titles before 1985: 0

Connecticut
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 18
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 10
Final 4s: 5
Titles: 4

Appearances before 1985: 13
Sweet 16s before 1985: 3
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

North Carolina
Current streak: made 5 in a row
Appearances: 28 (missed 2002, 2003, 2010)
Sweet 16s: 20
Elite 8s: 15
Final 4s: 9
Titles: 3

Appearances before 1985: 18
Sweet 16s before 1985: 11
Elite 8s before 1985: 11 (2 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 9
Titles before 1985: 2

Kentucky
Current streak: made 2 in a row
Appearances: 25 (vacated 1988, missed 1989, 1990, 1991, 2009, 2013)
Sweet 16s: 18
Elite 8s: 15
Final 4s: 8
Titles: 3

Appearances before 1985: 29
Sweet 16s before 1985: 23
Elite 8s before 1985: 21 (4 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 9
Titles before 1985: 5

Kansas
Current streak: made 26 in a row
Appearances: 30 (missed in 1989)
Sweet 16s: 19
Elite 8s: 12
Final 4s: 8
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 14
Sweet 16s before 1985: 9
Elite 8s before 1985: 9 (2 during the 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 6
Titles before 1985: 1

Florida
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 17
Sweet 16s: 9
Elite 8s: 8
Final 4s: 5
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 0
Sweet 16s before 1985: 0
Elite 8s before 1985: 0
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

Louisville
Current streak: made 9 in a row
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 14
Elite 8s: 8
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 2

Appearances before 1985: 17
Sweet 16s before 1985: 14
Elite 8s before 1985: 6
Final 4s before 1985: 6
Titles before 1985: 1

Michigan State
Current streak: made 18 in a row
Appearances: 25 (missed 1987, 1988, 1989, 1993, 1996, 1997)
Sweet 16s: 15
Elite 8s: 9
Final 4s: 7
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 4
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 4
Final 4s before 1985: 2
Titles before 1985: 1

Arizona
Current streak: made 3 in a row
Appearances: 27 (vacated 1999 and 2008, missed 2010 and 2012)
Sweet 16s: 16
Elite 8s: 10
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 3
Sweet 16s before 1985: 2
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 0
Titles before 1985: 0

Syracuse
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 25 (missed 1993, 1997, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2015)
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 6
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 12
Sweet 16s before 1985: 8
Elite 8s before 1985: 3
Final 4s before 1985: 1
Titles before 1985: 0

UCLA
Current streak: made 3 in a row
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 13
Elite 8s: 6
Final 4s: 4
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 22
Sweet 16s before 1985: 19
Elite 8s before 1985: 15
Final 4s before 1985: 13
Titles before 1985: 10

Indiana
Current streak: 1
Appearances: 24
Sweet 16s: 9
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 14
Sweet 16s before 1985: 12
Elite 8s before 1985: 7 (1 during 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 5
Titles before 1985: 4

Arkansas
Current streak: 1
Appearances: 18
Sweet 16s: 6
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 12
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 6 (3 during 8-team era)
Final 4s before 1985: 3
Titles before 1985: 0

UNLV
Current streak: missed in 2015
Appearances: 15
Sweet 16s: 6
Elite 8s: 4
Final 4s: 3
Titles: 1

Appearances before 1985: 5
Sweet 16s before 1985: 4
Elite 8s before 1985: 1
Final 4s before 1985: 1
Titles before 1985: 0


Sunday, March 15, 2015

What schools have received the most number 1 seeds? How have they fared as 1 seeds?

The men's NCAA basketball tournament has only been seeded since 1979.  In the 39 tournaments (including 2017) since then, here are the schools with the highest number of 1 seeds - plus, their results when they have received those 1 seeds.

1) NORTH CAROLINA - 16 top seeds (79, 82, 84, 87, 91, 93, 94, 97, 98, 05, 07, 08, 09, 12, 16, 17)

Titles as 1 seed: 4 of 15 (27%) - 1982, 1993, 2005, 2009.

Final Fours as 1 seed: 8 of 15 (53%) - 1982, 1991, 1993, 1997, 1998, 2005, 2009, 2016

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 12 of 15 (80%) - 1982, 1987, 1991, 1993, 1997, 1998, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2012, 2016

Upset before Sweet 16: 2 of 15 (13%) - 1979 (lost to 9th seed Penn), 1994 (lost to 9th seed Boston College).

2) DUKE - 13 top seeds (86, 92, 98, 99, 00, 01, 02, 04, 05, 06, 10, 11, 15)

Titles as 1 seed: 4 of 13 (31%) - 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015

Final Fours as 1 seed: 6 of 13 (46%) - 1986, 1992, 1999, 2001, 2004, 2010, 2015

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 8 of 13 (62%) - 1986, 1992, 1998, 1999, 2001, 2004, 2010, 2015

Upset before Sweet 16: never

2) KANSAS - 13 top seeds (86, 92, 95, 97, 98, 02, 07, 08, 10, 11, 13, 16, 17)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 12 (8%) - 2008.

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 12 (25%) - 1986, 2002, 2008.

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 6 of 12 (50%) - 1986, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2011, 2016

Upset before Sweet 16: 3 of 12 (25%) - 1992 (lost to 9th seed UTEP), 1998 (lost to 8th seed Rhode Island), 2010 (lost to 9th seed Northern Iowa).

4) KENTUCKY - 12 top seeds (80, 84, 86, 93, 95, 96, 97, 03, 04, 10, 12, 15)

Titles as 1 seed: 2 of 12 (17%) - 1996, 2012

Final Fours as 1 seed: 6 of 12 (50%) - 1984, 1993, 1996, 1997, 2012, 2015

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 10 of 12 (83%) - 1984, 1986, 1993, 1995, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2015

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 12 (8%) - 2004 (lost to 9th seed UAB).


5) ARIZONA - 6 top seeds (88, 89, 98, 00, 03, 14)

Titles as 1 seed: none

Final Fours as 1 seed: 1 of 6 (17%).  1988

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 4 of 6 (67%). 1988, 1998, 2003, 2014.

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 6 (17%).  2000 (lost to 8th seed Wisconsin).

6) MICHIGAN STATE - 5 top seeds (90, 99, 00, 01, 12)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  2000

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1999, 2000, 2001

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1999, 2000, 2001

Upset before Sweet 16: never

6) GEORGETOWN - 5 top seeds (82, 84, 85, 87, 89)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1984

Final Fours as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1982, 1984, 1985

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 5 of 5 (100%).  1982, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1989

Upset before Sweet 16: never

6) OKLAHOMA - 5 top seeds (85, 88, 89, 90, 03)

Titles as 1 seed: none

Final Fours as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1988

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 3 of 5 (60%).  1985, 1988, 2003

Upset before Sweet 16: 1 of 5 (20%).  1990 (lost to 8th seed North Carolina)

6) UCONN - 5 top seeds (90, 96, 99, 06, 09)

Titles as 1 seed: 1 of 5 (20%).  1999

Final Fours as 1 seed: 2 of 5 (40%).  1999, 2009

Elite Eights as 1 seed: 4 of 5 (80%).  1990, 1999, 2006, 2009

Upset before Sweet 16: never 

NOTE: 1996 tournament (during which they made the Sweet 16) was later vacated, however.

TOP PERFORMING SCHOOLS...

% winning titles: DUKE (31%)

% reaching Final Four: Georgetown, MSU (60%)

% reaching Elite Eight: Georgetown (100%)

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Nerlens Noel is Ole Miss's Daddy

We all doubted that anyone could truly rival Anthony Davis as a shot blocker, let alone surpass him.  Somehow, Nerlens Noel is on his way to doing just that.  And as far as single game performances, Nerlens delivered the sort of defensive domination last night that was truly superior (in every way but the size of the stage) to even Davis's superb national title game in 2012.

With 12 blocks, Noel:

- broke the UK single-game record of 9 (held by Andre Riddick and Sam Bowie)

- tied the SEC single-game record of 12 (held by Shaquille O'Neal)

- utterly demoralized every member of the Rebel opposition.

Somehow, Nerlens managed five of the blocks AFTER his fourth foul.  During the first half, when he was bricking free throw after free throw, it was difficult to imagine him earning forgiveness.  Instead, he rendered Kentucky's continuing charity stripe struggles temporarily moot, and had the first game by a 2012-13 UK player truly worthy of national praise.

Remarkably, Noel is now ahead of Davis's BPG pace - 4.75 to 4.65.  With just six more blocks, he will become the 18th Wildcat with 100 for his career.


Saturday, January 26, 2013

History of #1 Seeds and #1 Teams in the NCAA Tournament

(updated through the 2016 tournament)

Since the NCAA tournament began seeding in the modern format (four regions, each seeded first to last) in 1979, #1 seeds have fared very well, and high seeds in general (#1-3) have done EXTREMELY well.  But there have been a few exceptions.


Out of 38 tournaments in this era:

- 23 have been won by #1 seeds (60.5%)

- 33 have been won by a team seeded 1, 2 or 3 (86.8%)

- The only sub-3 seed winners: 
4 seed Arizona (1997) 
6 seed NC State (1983)
6 seed KU (1988)
7 seed UConn (2014) 
8 seed Villanova (1985)


If you confine it to 1990 through 2016 (27 tournaments), it gets even chalkier:

- 18 have been won by #1 seeds (67%)
- 25 have been won by a team seeded 1, 2 or 3 (93%)
- The only exceptions: 4 seed Arizona (1997), 7 seed UConn (2014)


However, in spite of all this chalky success, the overall #1 team has not performed up to expectations.  The concept of an "overall #1 seed" hasn't existed long, so I substituted the #1 team from the final AP poll in each season in looking at this.


In the 38 tournaments with modern seeding:

Only 7 champions were the overall #1 seed (or ranked #1 in the era before the existence of such a measure):

1982 UNC
1992 Duke
1995 UCLA
2001 Duke
2007 Florida (note - they were #3 in final AP poll)
2012 Kentucky
2013 Louisville (note - they were #2 in final AP poll)

8 champions were ranked #2 (and had a #1 seed):

1980 Louisville
1984 Georgetown
1990 UNLV
1994 Arkansas
1996 Kentucky
2000 Michigan State
2005 UNC
2009 UNC

5 champions were ranked #3 (and had a #1 seed):

1979 Michigan State
1987 Indiana
1999 UConn
2010 Duke
2015 Duke (note - they were #4 in final AP poll)

3 champions were ranked #4 (and had a #1 seed):

1993 North Carolina
2002 Maryland
2008 Kansas

The rest of the champs:

1981 Indiana - ranked 9th, seeded #3

1983 NC State - ranked 16th, seeded #6

1985 Villanova - unranked, seeded #8

1986 Louisville - ranked 7th, seeded #2

1988 Kansas - unranked, seeded #6

1989 Michigan - ranked 10th, seeded #3

1991 Duke - ranked 6th, seeded #2

1997 Arizona - ranked 15th, seeded #4

1998 Kentucky - ranked 5th, seeded #2

2003 Syracuse - ranked 13th, seeded #3

2004 UConn - ranked 7th, seeded #2

2006 Florida - ranked 11th, seeded #3

2011 UConn - ranked 9th, seeded #3

2014 UConn - ranked 18th, overall seed 26th, seeded #7

2016 Villanova - ranked 6th, overall seeded 7th, seeded #2

What about the #1 teams (and overall #1 seeds) who have failed to get the job done?

1979 Indiana State - Runner-up

1980 DePaul - Round of 32 loss

1981 DePaul - Round of 32 loss

1983 Houston - Runner-up

1984 North Carolina - Sweet 16 loss

1985 Georgetown - Runner-up

1986 Duke - Runner-up

1987 UNLV - Final 4 loss

1988 Temple - Elite 8 loss

1989 Arizona - Sweet 16 loss

1990 Oklahoma - Round of 32 loss

1993 Indiana - Elite 8 loss

1994 North Carolina - Round of 32 loss

1996 UMass - Final 4 loss

1997 Kansas - Sweet 16 loss

1998 North Carolina - Final 4 loss

1999 Duke - Runner-up

2000 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2002 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2003 Kentucky - Elite 8 loss

2004 Stanford - Round of 32 loss

2005 Illinois - Runner-up

2006 Duke - Sweet 16 loss

2008 Memphis - Runner-up (vacated)

2009 Louisville - Elite 8 loss

2010 Kansas - Round of 32 loss

2011 Ohio State - Sweet 16 loss

2014 Florida - Final 4 loss

2015 Kentucky - Final 4 loss

2016 Kansas - Elite 8 loss

Kentucky basketball vs. Louisville all-time (14 different arenas)

UK is 34-16 all-time against the Cardinals.


In the modern home-and-home series (initiated after the "Dream Game" in 1983), Kentucky leads 22-12.


Regular season home games: UK is 17-5 (77.3%)

Rupp Arena: 13-4 (games played in 1983 through present) - 76.5%
Buell Armory Gymnasium: 3-0 (1913, 1914, 1922)
Woodland Auditorium: 1-1 


Did you know?  UK never played UofL in Alumni Gym or in Memorial Coliseum.  Crazy, right?  


Regular season road games: UK is 12-9 (57%)

Freedom Hall: 7-6 (1984 through 2009) - 53.8%
Yum! Center: 2-2 (2010 through 2016) - 50.0%
St. Xavier Gym: 1-0 (1922)
Louisville YMCA: 1-1 (1915, 1916)
Tharp Gymnasium: 1-0 (1914)


NCAA Tournament Games: UK is 4-2 (60%)

Wins:
2014 Midwest Regional Semifinal at Lucas Oil Stadium
2012 National Semifinal at the Superdome
1984 Mideast Regional Semifinal at Rupp Arena
1951 East Regional 1st Round at Reynolds Coliseum (Raleigh)

Losses:
1983 Mideast Regional Final at Stokely Center (Knoxville)
1959 Mideast Regional Semifinal at McGaw Memorial Hall (Evanston)


Other: UK is 1-0
Old Madison Square Garden (NYC, 1948 Olympic Trials): 1-0


One final, happy note:
- UK has won three (or more) in a row against UofL EIGHT times, and UofL has never accomplished a three game winning streak against UK.

Among other websites consulted, one of my main sources for this and many other posts is the peerless UK resource (and probably the best site of its kind for any sports team) known as "The Kentucky Basketball Statistics Project" operated by Jon Scott.  Available at http://www.bigbluehistory.net/bb/statistics/statistics.html

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Head-to-head records of college basketball "blue bloods"

(updated at the end of calendar year 2016)

The top six programs in college basketball history are almost universally recognized among historians as: Kentucky, North Carolina, UCLA, Kansas, Duke and Indiana.  The first tier is clearly UK, UNC and UCLA, with the other three lagging a bit behind.

Here is a look at their head-to-head results, listed by winning percentage:

1) UNC .558 (177-140)
2) UK .557 (88-70)
3) IU .481 (51-55)
4) 
Duke .466 (139-159)

5) UCLA .449 (31-38)
6) KU .354 (29-53)

The breakdown...


UK is:

32-25 against IU
22-7 against KU
15-23 against UNC
12-9 against Duke
7-6 against UCLA

UNC is:

134-108 against Duke
23-15 against UK
8-3 against UCLA
6-5 against KU
6-9 against IU

IU is:

25-32 against UK
9-6 against UNC
8-6 against Kansas
6-6 against UCLA
3-5 against Duke

Duke is:
108-134 against UNC
10-6 against UCLA
9-12 against UK
7-4 against KU
5-3 against IU

UCLA is:

10-7 against KU
6-6 against IU
6-10 against Duke
6-7 against UK
3-8 against UNC

KU is:

6-8 against IU
7-10 against UCLA
7-22 against UK
5-6 against UNC
4-7 against Duke

Notes:
- UNC has a winning record against everyone except IU (6-9)
- UK has a winning record against everyone except UNC (15-23)
- Obviously the most matchups in any series is UNC/Duke (242 games)
- Kansas has a losing record against every other blue blood
- UCLA's only winning record is against Kansas (10-7)

- UofL (probably the 7th best team all-time - although they rated above IU in my most recent analysis) has losing records against all the top six teams shown here.  As of the end of calendar year 2016, the Cardinals are 5-7 against Duke, 16-34 against UK, 8-10 against IU, 5-11 against UNC, 5-6 against Kansas, and 7-15 against UCLA.